Weather forecasters tell people where a hurricane might strike so that they can evacuate and save their lives. But sometimes people evacuate and the hurricane misses the area, making them angry at the forecasters and civil defense authorities who ordered the evacuation. Although the forecasters' models are becoming better and better, the orders to evacuate an area are still based on __ square

on predictions and probabilities rather than absolute certainty.<br /><br />Weather forecasting, especially for hurricanes, relies on complex models that simulate atmospheric conditions. These models provide a range of possible outcomes, but they cannot guarantee exactly where or when a hurricane will strike due to the inherent unpredictability of weather systems. As a result, evacuation orders are issued based on the best available data and the need to prioritize public safety, even if there is a chance the hurricane may not directly impact the area.