Problemas
The Hiking Club plans to go camping in a State park where the probability of rain on any given day is 83% . What is the probability that it will rain on exactly zero of the five days they are there?Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.
Solución
Rafaelprofessionell · Tutor durante 6 años
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To solve this problem, we can use the binomial probability formula. The binomial probability formula is given by:<br /><br />\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k} \]<br /><br />where:<br />- \( n \) is the number of trials (in this case, 5 days),<br />- \( k \) is the number of successes (in this case, 0 days of rain),<br />- \( p \) is the probability of success on a single trial (in this case, 0.83 for rain),<br />- \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the binomial coefficient, calculated as \( \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \).<br /><br />Given:<br />- \( n = 5 \)<br />- \( k = 0 \)<br />- \( p = 0.83 \)<br /><br />First, calculate the binomial coefficient \( \binom{5}{0} \):<br /><br />\[ \binom{5}{0} = \frac{5!}{0!(5-0)!} = \frac{5!}{0! \cdot 5!} = 1 \]<br /><br />Next, calculate \( p^k \) and \( (1-p)^{n-k} \):<br /><br />\[ p^k = 0.83^0 = 1 \]<br />\[ (1-p)^{n-k} = (1-0.83)^5 = 0.17^5 \]<br /><br />Now, compute \( 0.17^5 \):<br /><br />\[ 0.17^5 \approx 0.0001419857 \]<br /><br />Finally, multiply these values together to get the probability:<br /><br />\[ P(X = 0) = \binom{5}{0} \cdot 0.83^0 \cdot 0.17^5 \]<br />\[ P(X = 0) = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot 0.0001419857 \]<br />\[ P(X = 0) \approx 0.000142 \]<br /><br />Rounding to the nearest thousandth, the probability that it will rain on exactly zero of the five days they are there is approximately \( 0.000 \).
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